How The Cool Kid Of Progressive Politics Gambled It All Away

How The Cool Kid Of Progressive Politics Gambled It All Away

For a particular section of the chronically on-line remaining, it was the equivalent of a blood bathtub. Just a number of times before Xmas, the Slack channels started out to disappear. Then, one by one, customers ended up booted off of the Slack entirely. Like at many contemporary places of work, staff at Data For Development — a remaining-leaning polling company and feel tank — made use of Slack’s chat software program for interior communication. But the Information For Progress Slack was notorious in progressive circles for obtaining many community channels that involved expansive membership outside of the business. And now the channels ended up staying shuttered and non-staff ended up getting evicted.

Sean McElwee, the firm’s charismatic and occasionally controversial 30-yr-outdated founder, had a behavior of inviting a coterie of characters from exterior the corporation into the Slack, including pollsters, political researchers and journalists. If McElwee imagined you had been appealing, you experienced a good shot at an invitation, specially when Knowledge for Progress was minimal extra than, as the interior lore goes, “three men on an email chain.” Nevertheless private channels remained closed to non-staffers, Info For Progress’s community Slack channels turned a beloved water cooler for thinkfluencers on the progressive still left. 

“DFP, at one point in time, was like a authentic, wonderful intellectual hub that generated a lot of seriously amazing exploration and scholarship and friendship,” mentioned a single former member of the community Slack who wished to keep on being nameless. “The Slack was a area for the progressive facts neighborhood to come jointly, chat and community.”

And then one particular working day, it was unceremoniously dismantled. By this place, word had gotten out that McElwee was in the process of currently being ousted by senior team following a collection of article-midterm scandals came to a head. There was the community reckoning around McElwee’s fondness for betting on troubles and elections that Knowledge For Development polled on. There was his consulting function for Sam Bankman-Fried — the founder of recently bankrupt cryptocurrency trade FTX, who has considering that been indicted on fraud prices. And there were being accusations of a straw-donor plan — the place somebody pays a different human being to make donations on their behalf to stay clear of limitations on marketing campaign donations. (McElwee declined to be interviewed for this tale.) Following a tumultuous couple of weeks for the firm’s public image, McElwee was out, the new guard was in, and they were cleaning household.

“We’re a mature business,” reported Danielle Deiseroth, Details For Progress’s interim executive director. “We desired to place that chapter guiding us. We however have lots of wonderful mates of DFP who have been all-around considering that the commencing and are nonetheless incredibly supportive of us, but our Slack must be for our perform.”

The demise of the general public Slack marked the starting of a new chapter for Info For Progress. By the stop of the yr, new management had reestablished the nonprofit as independent and had instituted an advisory board. It’s the dawn of a new period … for a 5-year-outdated policy store. And now the youthful staffers left running the show are tasked with pinpointing what’s up coming. 

At its inception in 2018, Knowledge For Development truly was 3 fellas on an e mail chain. As a result of Twitter, McElwee experienced related with Colin McAuliffe, a info scientist, and Jon Inexperienced, then a political science Ph.D. scholar. McElwee experienced now garnered interest for sizzling will take on progressive plan that challenged the status quo — in certain, he helped popularize the notion of abolishing the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement — as perfectly as his weekly, wonky satisfied several hours that captivated the likes of Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

“We had been blogging, efficiently,” Green explained of Knowledge For Progress’s early days, noting that McAuliffe was expert at statistical evaluation, enabling them to inquire new concerns of public details. “We were just bringing a minor little bit of data to the ongoing discussion about the partnership concerning beliefs and pragmatism in the Democratic extended social gathering network.”

Originally, the trio designed Knowledge For Progress as an LLC, but in accordance to Eco-friendly it rapidly became clear that developing the company as a non-earnings made far more perception because they weren’t, properly, turning a revenue. It pivoted and grew to become a challenge of the Tides Advocacy Fund, a nonprofit social welfare business that money initiatives to progress progressive suggestions. Somewhat than continuing to rely on absolutely free, current polling and public belief facts, Info For Progress started soliciting new polling from YouGov Blue — an arm of YouGov specializing in polling for Democrats and progressives — just before eventually undertaking its individual polling in-dwelling. By 2020, two many years soon after its inception, the firm had developed from 3 bloggers to a bona fide pollster with approximately a dozen staff making coverage reviews shared by the likes of Sen. Elizabeth Warren and acquiring tapped to seek advice from with then-candidate Joe Biden. 

As Facts For Progress’s impact and legitimacy grew, so did McElwee’s on the internet persona. All over the 2020 election, McElwee overtly tweeted about betting on PredictIt — a prediction sector, form of like a cross among a inventory sector and a athletics betting site, the place consumers can wager on political results, together with which prospect will win a key race or when a potential candidate could possibly file to run for president. Taking into consideration that Knowledge For Development was conducting polling that may impact these markets, a person could argue this was a conflict of curiosity. It violates FiveThirtyEight’s formal policy for which include pollsters in our databases and forecasts, and as this kind of, any upcoming polls carried out by McElwee — but not Data For Development — have been banned by FiveThirtyEight. At the time, McElwee’s bets went mostly unnoticed by the public, but at least among associates of the community Facts For Progress Slack, it was an open up mystery.

“I remember people today chatting about it. He was tweeting about it. He wasn’t actually shy about it,” claimed the former Slack member. 

It was not till fall of 2022 that public scrutiny of McElwee commenced to escalate. Info For Progress experienced been given tens of 1000’s of pounds to conduct polls for Shield Our Foreseeable future, a PAC mostly funded by Bankman-Fried that supported candidates who were crypto-pleasant, and McElwee himself experienced been advising Bankman-Fried, one thing that was resulting in inside unease even right before FTX disintegrated and Bankman-Fried confronted fraud expenses. Then in November, an interview with an nameless Twitter person stoked renewed interest in McElwee’s predilection for betting. In an job interview with The Tartan, Carnegie Mellon University’s pupil-operate newspaper, anonymous election forecaster and commentator @cityafreaks alluded to McElwee’s betting on PredictIt. The interview was afterwards pulled down when it became crystal clear a great deal of the user’s commentary, together with how significantly McElwee might have missing on PredictIt, was hyperbolic supposition, instead than actuality. But McElwee’s betting on PredictIt was so well-documented — on his Twitter feed (while some tweets have now been deleted) and in a podcast interview — that it did not choose prolonged for Polling Nerd Twitter to stage out the likely conflicts of his actions.

The backlash was hurting Details For Progress’s status, and senior management at the agency started to strategize about acquiring McElwee out. At the very same time, they started an internal evaluate to make sure the founder hadn’t influenced any of the firm’s polling in order to, say, increase his earnings on a specific wager. Deiseroth reported a broader interior investigation is ongoing, although she would not get into its details. But according to Johannes Fischer, Details For Progress’s director of engineering and analytics, that preliminary test confirmed McElwee didn’t have any visible sample of influence on the polls, which have been not managed by any one unique at the agency.

“The explanation I’m not involved about the precision of our figures is, [firstly], I was concerned and saw them the complete time, and, next, Sean just frankly doesn’t know how to do it,” Fischer mentioned. “There was in no way a point wherever Sean was ready to industry or pounds a study. Of system, he was the government director of the corporation, but he’s not a working towards pollster.”

By mid-December, McElwee was out and the business turned independent from Tides, inquiring all workers to indication new employment agreements that strictly prohibited betting on subject areas Details For Development works on. They also prohibited outside the house consultation work without the need of prior authorization from the company — so deals like McElwee’s perform with Bankman-Fried would have to be greenlit by management. The new nonprofit composition also released an advisory board of field gurus to help form the youthful pollster’s future chapter and who will have closing say more than its lengthy-phrase strategic choices, according to Deiseroth.

The potential, on the other hand, nonetheless appears a bit foggy. Like most pollsters, Data For Progress is examining its polls from the 2022 cycle and looking at exactly where it can make advancements. Deiseroth explained the organization will prioritize rebuilding have faith in heading forward, but that leadership is nevertheless in early conversations around what Details For Progress’s extensive-expression targets should really be and how to attain them.

But whichever is following, it is confident to involve the main tenet of what motivated Facts For Progress to begin with: making use of polling to support progressive policy suggestions. Deiseroth pointed out that amid all its turmoil, Data for Progress’s workforce of about two dozen staffers however put out a poll just about each and every day in December and January. 

“We’re eager and excited to keep our do the job up and are searching ahead to how we shape our following chapter,” Deiseroth claimed. “We’re nonetheless below.”

Added reporting by Mary Radcliffe.

CORRECTION (Feb. 23, 1:32 p.m.): An earlier edition of this tale said that Info For Development acquired donations from Shield Our Long term. The funds had been payments for polling Knowledge For Progress executed for Safeguard Our Long term, not donations.

Joe Manchin ‘not running’ for president, considers political future as potential GOP challengers loom

Joe Manchin ‘not running’ for president, considers political future as potential GOP challengers loom

Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., has narrowed down his possibilities regarding his political upcoming for the 2024 election cycle, announcing Wednesday he was not managing for president at this time.

“I’m not managing for President of the United States. I can assure you of that as we sit below now,” Manchin informed MetroNews through a radio job interview broadcast from the Condition Capitol in Charleston, West Virginia.

The two-time period senator and previous governor of the point out afterwards hinted that he was not ruling out a conclusion to run some time in the potential, and that he required to be in the ideal situation to “deliver the country with each other.”

Manchin also would not say if he experienced decided to run for re-election to keep his seat in the U.S. Senate, as Republicans eye the seat as a top focus on to flip in the 2024 election cycle.

DEMOCRAT JOE MANCHIN HITS BIDEN ADMINISTRATION FOR EAST PALESTINE Response

"I'm not running for President of the United States," Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., said Wednesday.

“I am not managing for President of the United States,” Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., said Wednesday. (Gaelen Morse/Bloomberg by way of Getty Images)

Republican candidates are by now lining up to try out and unseat Manchin ought to he decide to run all over again, which include Rep. Alex Mooney, who signifies West Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District.

Republican Gov. Jim Justice is also rumored to be mulling a run. He was first elected as a Democrat in the 2016 gubernatorial election, but switched functions at a rally with then-President Donald Trump in 2017, and was in the long run re-elected as a Republican in 2020.

JOE MANCHIN Calls ‘BULLS–T’ ON DEMOCRATS’ Thrust TO Immediately Stop FOSSIL FUELS

Republican West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice.

Republican West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice. (Reuters)

West Virginia Lawyer General Patrick Morrisey, who was the Republican nominee defeated by Manchin in 2018, is also reportedly thinking of another run.

No other Democrats have introduced their intention to be a part of the race, presumably until finally Manchin would make a choice on his candidacy.

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Then-Republican U.S. Senate candidate Patrick Morrisey speaks at a campaign event in Inwood, West Virginia, on Oct. 22, 2018.

Then-Republican U.S. Senate prospect Patrick Morrisey speaks at a marketing campaign function in Inwood, West Virginia, on Oct. 22, 2018. (Acquire McNamee/Getty Visuals)

Manchin was initial elected in a 2010 particular election ahead of becoming elected to a comprehensive six-year time period in 2012. He was narrowly re-elected for a 2nd time period in 2018, but has drawn ire from his purple-point out constituents soon after supporting President Biden’s huge $739 billion Inflation Reduction Act very last year.

Fox News Politics: Nikki Haley’s ‘prime’ time

Fox News Politics: Nikki Haley’s ‘prime’ time

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Major Tales

HALEY’S ‘PRIME’ TIME: Nikki Haley jumped into the 2024 White Dwelling race previous 7 days and the liberal media’s reaction was swift and baffling. CNN’s Don Lemon claimed a lady of Haley’s age (51) was earlier her key. Each day Beast contributor Wajahat Ali mentioned she “employs her brown pores and skin to launder White supremacist chatting details.” Haley in the meantime collects all the reactions backlash to demonstrate a point… Read extra from Kyle Morris: Nikki Haley responds to Don Lemon’s remark that she’s past her ‘prime’: Liberals ‘are the most sexist’

FIGHTIN’ BIDEN: President Biden in Poland Tuesday threatened to ramp up sanctions if Russia will not “close the war” in Ukraine… Study extra from Brooke Singman: Biden challenges Putin to ‘end the war’ in Ukraine, threatens to ramp up sanctions towards Russia

U.S. President Joe Biden and Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Saint Michael’s cathedral, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine

U.S. President Joe Biden and Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Saint Michael’s cathedral, amid Russia’s attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine (REUTERS/Gleb Garanich)

VLAD MAD: Subsequent Biden’s surprise visit to Kyiv Monday, Russia suspended its participation in New Commence nuclear treaty, which minimal the U.S. and Russia from having more than 1,550 nuclear warheads a piece… Examine much more from Chris Pandolfo: Russia suspends participation in New Start nuclear treaty with US, Putin says

OHIO WHO? The president’s startling go to to Ukraine, and his scheduled check out to Poland, rubbed numerous on the other facet of the Atlantic completely wrong, as Biden has yet to stop by the scene of a train derailment and chemical leak in East Palestine, Ohio… Study much more from Brioanna Herlihy: GOP lawmakers slam Biden for Ukraine trip, neglecting East Palestine, southern border: ‘They can keep him!’

Prepare BLAME Match: Transportation Sec. Pete Buttigieg called on the freight train business to just take motion right after a derailment in Ohio, but Republicans question what position Washington procedures play… Read additional from Ron Blitzer: Buttigieg details finger at rail sector right after Ohio coach derailment GOP officers cite Biden admin procedures

Up The Hill

SWANKWELL: Rep. Eric Swalwell’s marketing campaign put in additional than 50 percent a million pounds on fancy dinners and inns, and traveling expenses in the last two-12 months cycle, which dwarfs the total Rep. Nancy Pelosi, the previous chief of Property Democrats, compensated in the same period… Browse much more from Joe Schoffstall: Eric Swalwell spent a lot more campaign dollars on vacation and luxury accommodations than Nancy Pelosi

YA Do not SAY: Freshmen Rep. George Santos, who lied about various features of his biography, claimed he is a horrible liar but assumed he could get absent with his fabrications immediately after election day… Read far more from Anders Hagstrom: George Santos suggests he is a ‘terrible liar,’ believed no just one would see because he ‘got away with it’ in 2020

U.S. Rep. George Santos (R-NY) waits for President Joe Biden's State of the Union address during a joint meeting of Congress in the House Chamber of the U.S. Capitol on February 07, 2023 in Washington, DC. The speech marks Biden's first address to the new Republican-controlled House. 

U.S. Rep. George Santos (R-NY) waits for President Joe Biden’s State of the Union tackle for the duration of a joint conference of Congress in the Household Chamber of the U.S. Capitol on February 07, 2023 in Washington, DC. The speech marks Biden’s very first tackle to the new Republican-controlled Home.  (Acquire McNamee/Getty Photographs)

SEMI-SUPREME Court docket: Democratic Sen. Ron Wyden of Oregon needs the Biden administration to overlook a prospective Supreme Court docket ruling on an abortion drug if it isn’t going to go the way he wants… Examine extra: Dem senator phone calls on Biden administration to dismiss potential court order banning abortion drug

2024 Enjoy

BIDEN’S NEMESIS: Non secular advisor, wellness expert and previous 2020 Democratic presidential prospect Marianne Williamson mentioned she has been moved to ‘explore the possibility’ of managing for president in 2024, and says it can be time to move on from Joe Biden… Browse extra from Paul Steinhauser: Williamson tells Democrats it is ‘time to go on’ from Biden as she programs journeys to NH and early main states

Marianne Williamson speaks onstage at Guerrilla Tactics & Asymmetric Political Activism during the 2022 SXSW Conference and Festivals at Hilton Austin on March 14, 2022 in Austin, Texas.

Marianne Williamson speaks onstage at Guerrilla Practices & Uneven Political Activism all through the 2022 SXSW Convention and Festivals at Hilton Austin on March 14, 2022 in Austin, Texas. (Mike Jordan/Getty Images for SXSW)

Road TO THE WHITE Home: 

President Trump heads to East Palestine, Ohio… Trump to pay a visit to East Palestine after harmful prepare derailment

Nikki Haley is in Iowa, and all around cable TV… Nikki Haley fires back again at Whoopi Goldberg: ‘If my age is all they have, it means we’re winning’

Previous Vice President Pence heads to South Carolina…. Pence returning to South Carolina as 2024 race heats up

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis goes to New York, Illinois, Philadelphia… DeSantis kicks off professional-police tour in Democrat-run metropolitan areas as White House rumors swirl

Sen. Tim Scott heads to Iowa with huge war chest… Tim Scott’s large war upper body could give him head commence in 2024 presidential campaign

Stay up to date on the most recent campaign and political information by subscribing to Fox News’ Politics publication. 

This threat to American culture is ‘political correctness on steroids’

This threat to American culture is ‘political correctness on steroids’

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More than the previous decade or so a rhetorical shift has occurred in our political and social discourse. “Political correctness,” the very long-standing regular term for the ideological excesses of the still left, was replaced by the time period “woke.”

Is this alter only a design and style shift, a new term to describe essentially the exact factor as the old? Or does wokeness differ drastically from the idea of political correctness?

I posed this concern on social media not long ago, as properly as to some colleagues who generate often on the issue and the common consensus seemed to be that wokeness is a variety of industrial toughness Pc, as a single person place it, “Laptop on steroids.”

But what tends to make wokeness so a lot extra intense than political correctness? What are the sinews that give it such industrial strength?

Each terms day at the very least again to the mid-Twentieth Century, both saw their meanings alter throughout that time, but unlike woke, Computer system was hardly ever a expression that progressives utilized about them selves in a optimistic way. By the mid 1970s Computer system was getting utilised by academics on the still left to self deprecatingly warn versus turning out to be also connected to orthodoxies.

SOLEDAD O’BRIEN DECLARES ‘WOKE’ A ‘RACIST SLUR’ IN RIDICULED TWEET

It was not till 1987, and Allan Bloom’s reserve ‘The Closing of the American Mind’ centered on campuses, that the phrase became an assault greatly made use of by the proper against a left who they accused of shutting down speech in deference to those quite orthodoxies.

By 1992 Pat Buchanan had manufactured combating political correctness central to his presidential campaign. The eventual GOP nominee, George HW Bush, who was considerably from a society warrior, even decried it in a 1991 graduation tackle, particularly mentioning the difficulty in universities.

A student walks through the Purdue Mall on the campus of Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana, U.S., on Monday, Oct. 22, 2012. Administrative costs on college campuses are soaring, crowding out instruction at a time of skyrocketing tuition and $1 trillion in outstanding student loans. At Purdue and other U.S. college campuses, bureaucratic growth is pitting professors against administrators and sparking complaints that tight budgets could be spent more efficiently. 

A university student walks by means of the Purdue Shopping mall on the campus of Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana, U.S., on Monday, Oct. 22, 2012. Administrative costs on higher education campuses are soaring, crowding out instruction at a time of skyrocketing tuition and $1 trillion in outstanding college student financial loans. At Purdue and other U.S. college or university campuses, bureaucratic progress is pitting professors from administrators and sparking complaints that restricted budgets could be put in far more effectively.  (Photographer: Daniel Acker/Bloomberg by way of Getty Visuals)

Through the 1990’s there was home to carefully mock Pc culture, as ‘Seinfeld’ famously did in the episode in which Kramer declines to wear the red AIDS ribbon. “Who does not want to dress in the ribbon!” an activist bellows. We are intended to be on Kramer’s aspect and snicker at the absurd advantage signaling. Importantly, Kramer even supports the motion, he just doesn’t want to be explained to how to express it.

Political Correctness was considerably much more of a loose social deal than the established of codified policies that would choose hold with wokeness. Importantly the speech codes of the Pc era tended to be constraints on issue issues this kind of as black on black crime, concerns in the homosexual community, or the cultural impacts of mass immigration.

Compelled speech was not normally a characteristic of political correctness, that would improve with the rise of wokeness.

Occupy Wall Road in 2011 gives an early illustration of the codification of progressive ideology that marks wokeism. The governing human body of OWS, known as the General Assembly, used what is known as a “progressive stack” for its meetings. Anyone could talk, but slots ended up specified in buy of how marginalized the speaker’s identities were. A black, trans lesbian would talk quite early, a straight white dude would converse last, if time permitted.

The idea right here was to redress centuries of straight white fellas accomplishing most of the conversing in govt, but it was considerably much more specific in its silencing of all those voices than Computer system had at any time been.

A several years later, in 2015, in excess of 80 theater companies all around the place would sign a pledge, referred to as Jubilee 2020, that promised in that 12 months they would make no performs by straight, cis, in a position, white gentlemen. The loose social deal was calcifying into the tablets of the law. And in this set of woke commandments, compelled speech would engage in a main role.

Contrary to the rather adaptable speech constraints of political correctness, wokeness demands us to affirmatively use the “suitable” pronouns, to indication the confessional statement at our company’s DEI teaching, and to wear the delight jersey.

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Jordan Peterson’s meteoric increase to fame began with his refusal to use his student’s pronouns. It was a tipping level for several who experienced noticed political correctness as tedious but tolerable but, like Kramer, could not abide currently being pressured into speech.

The upshot of the transition from Computer system to wokeness has fortunately been a swift backlash in the latest yrs, not only from pundits but from political leaders like Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis, the two of whom have championed rules and rules aimed at weakening wokeness’ hold on modern society.

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Us citizens are not just rolling their eyes any longer, they see a actual menace to our educational institutions, to youngsters indoctrinated by gender ideology, to organizations held hostage by DEI departments, and even to artwork and storytelling.

For 25 years political correctness walked a tightrope, in no way heading far ample to spark meaningful ire, in the age of wokeness that is in excess of. A new cultural fight has been joined, and this time there seems to be quite small space for compromise. 

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Nikki Haley’s South Asian heritage is historic part of her presidential campaign

Nikki Haley’s South Asian heritage is historic part of her presidential campaign

With her announcement this week that she is running for president, Nikki Haley has made a bit of history again — becoming the first prominent woman of color to seek the Republican nomination.

With Vice President Kamala Harris presumed to be President Joe Biden’s running mate if he announces a second run, as he has said he will, it’s possible that both major political parties in America could simultaneously have a woman on their ticket for the first time. And both would be South Asian, specifically of Indian descent — which observers called a massive feat considering the community makes up only about 1{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of the country’s population and produced two recent political stars.

“This is absolutely a moment,” Sara Sadhwani, an assistant professor of politics at Pomona College and co-author of the Indian American Election Survey, told ABC News. “We see South Asians who have largely been on the outskirts of American politics in many ways. This is a moment where we’re seeing South Asians step into the limelight.”

That representation began at the national level more than half a century ago, when Dalip Singh Saund led a push to change immigration laws so he and other Indians could become citizens. He then became the first Asian American, first South Asian and first Sikh in Congress, in 1956.

There are now five South Asians in Congress, often referred to as “the Samosa Caucus.”

“Since 2016, we’ve quintupled our representation in Congress and gone from 12 to 43 in state legislatures. Over that same period of time, our population has not multiplied the same way,” said Neil Makhija, the executive director of the Indian American Impact, an organization that helps South Asians run for elected office. “Once people start running, it shows that it’s possible.”

When it comes to world leaders, University of California, Riverside, public policy professor Karthick Ramakrishnan points to Rishi Sunak, whose parents are of Indian descent, as someone who represents how fast a community can advance — considering the British ruled India until 1947. “One generation,” Ramakrishnan said, “Someone who is the child of the empire is now the prime minister of Britain.”

Nearly one-fourth of the world’s population lives in South Asia and many of the countries within it — India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri Lanka — have all already had women prime ministers or presidents.

“[Women leading countries] is not something that’s necessarily out of the norm of the cultures from which a lot of these people are coming from,” said Maneesh Arora, an assistant professor of political science at Wellesley College.

PHOTO: South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley along with her husband Michael Haley at the Golden Temple, Nov. 15, 2014, in Amritsar, India.

South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley along with her husband Michael Haley at the Golden Temple, Nov. 15, 2014, in Amritsar, India.

Hindustan Times via Getty Images

Harris’ maternal grandfather, P.V. Gopalan, worked to fight for the country’s independence from Britain and she’s spoken about her parents taking her in a stroller to political protests in the ’60s. Haley wrote in her autobiography that her mom, Raj Randhawa, studied law and was offered the first female judgeship in India, although Haley said her own family blocked it because she was a woman.

“They grew up in households where public service was not looked down upon. … Plenty of Indian Americans grew up in households where it was about becoming a doctor or engineer,” Ramakrishnan said.

Harris, who ran for president in 2020 before being selected as Biden’s vice president, and now Haley are testing what it means to pursue success at the highest levels of American politics.

Haley is not the first woman of color to seek the GOP nod: Angel Joy Chavis Rocker, a Black school counselor in Florida, ran in the 2000 campaign. But Haley is the most notable non-white conservative woman to ever enter the race.

Her campaign did not comment for this story.

What Haley has said about her heritage

Haley was born Nimrata Nikki Randhawa to Punjabi Sikh parents who emigrated from India in the 1960s. She has said that early on she adopted her middle name, which means “little one” in Punjabi, as her first name and later took on her husband’s last name as her own.

Haley was raised Sikh and has publicly talked about converting to Christianity, once saying the language barrier was what ultimately led to her decision to convert. “At some point, you have to understand the words …. Christianity spoke to me,” she previously said while adding, “It wasn’t political.” She explained to The New York Times in 2012: “We always said ‘no’ when my mom was trying to teach us Punjabi. Now I wish we had learned, but that is why I think I made the transition.”

She joined a Methodist church with her husband but has said she continues visiting the Sikh temple with family.

But for some South Asians, the conversation about Haley rarely gets past her name or religion.

“Her example would reflect the kind of assimilationism that most Indian Americans — most South Asians — actually don’t do. They don’t change their name and they don’t convert their religion,” Ramakrishnan said.

PHOTO: Governor of South Carolina Nikki Haley poses with her husband Michael Haley and traditional Punjabi dancers as she arrives to attend a function at Lovely Professional University LPU in Jalandhar, Nov. 14, 2014.

Governor of South Carolina Nikki Haley poses with her husband Michael Haley and traditional Punjabi dancers as she arrives to attend a function at Lovely Professional University LPU in Jalandhar, Nov. 14, 2014.

Shammi Mehra/AFP via Getty Images

In 2001, Haley also listed her race as “white” on her voter registration card, according to The Post and Courier. At the time, a spokesman for her declined to comment and state Republicans suggested the issue was a stunt because it had been uncovered by Democrats, who criticized her as disingenuous.

Dr. Hajar Yazhida, a University of Southern California assistant professor in sociology and faculty affiliate at their equity research institution, told ABC News that being able to have racial ambiguity has had a massive impact for both the vice president and Haley — especially on Haley’s journey. (Harris’ father is Black, from Jamaica; her mother was born in Chennai, India.)

“We might look at Kamala Harris on one side and Nikki Haley on the other and wonder how it is that two South Asian women ended up as political front-runners? But we have to remember that neither of the candidates are socially read as South Asian women,” Yazhida argued.

But Ramakrishnan said even being able to “claim” an identity is something unique to living in the United States — and something that most politicians do in some way: “We all have different aspects of our identity that we activate. … Given the context, people code-switch all the time.”

Haley has seen prejudice — even from fellow politicians.

During a runoff election for a state legislative seat in South Carolina, an opponent published ads referring to her as “Nimrata N. Randhawa” and sent out mailers with her standing with her dad in his turban.

When she was running for governor in 2010, a South Carolina state senator referred to her and then-President Barack Obama with a racial epithet.

Haley has touched on some of the struggles her family faced. “I am the proud daughter of Indian immigrants. They came to America and settled in a small southern town. My father wore a turban. My mother wore a sari. I was a brown girl in a black and white world,” she said at the 2020 Republican National Convention. “We faced discrimination and hardship, but my parents never gave into grievance and hate.”

The NAACP also pointed to then-Gov. Haley’s heritage in 2011 when criticizing South Carolina for flying the Confederate flag at the Statehouse for nearly half a century. In 2015, in the wake of the fatal shooting of nine Black people at Charleston’s Emanuel African Methodist Episcopal Church, Haley urged the flag to be removed and state Republicans quickly agreed.

Nikki Haley’s South Asian heritage is historic part of her presidential campaign

Former South Carolina Republican Governor Nikki Haley speaks at the Republican Jewish Coalition Annual Leadership Meeting in Las Vegas, Nov. 19, 2022.

Wade Vandervort/AFP via Getty Images

Haley’s politics differ from most in the community

Pomona College professor Sadhwani said South Asians really want to support other South Asians, regardless of party. But the data she has collected on Haley appears to be an exception. “Haley’s unfavorable score is 55{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} in our sample,” Sadhwani said. This could be in part because many South Asian people identify as Democrats, data shows

Former President Donald Trump wasn’t able to capture the South Asian vote either — but he tried. In 2019, he held a “Howdy Modi!” rally with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi that attracted thousands and filmed an ad where he attempted to speak in Hindi.

That got him ahead with the group — but not by enough. “Trump made inroads among Indian American voters between 2016 and 2020. He still lost the Indian American vote,” said professor Ramakrishnan.

Biden and Harris have focused on South Asians and the Indian community as well, with Biden releasing an agenda for the Indian American community prior to the 2020 election and both him and the vice president including cultural celebrations as part of administration events.

Numbers illustrate how Asian American voters, and Indian voters, can be influential. According to AAPI Data, an organization that publishes demographic data and research, in 2018 there were an estimated 161,000 eligible Indian voters in Texas, 87,000 in Florida, 61,000 in Pennsylvania, 57,000 in Georgia and 45,000 in Michigan.

Major contests in those states, including the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, have all recently been decided by smaller margins.

And the community is fast growing. In the last two decades, for example, the Indian population in the U.S. has doubled to about 4.6 million in 2019, according to the Pew Research Center.

Roughly 70{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of Indian voters in America leaned Democratic as of 2022, according to AAPI Data. That’s more than Latinos but less than African Americans. Some of the reasons include religion, extensive training in science and living in a post-9/11 world.

In one of his most notable — and controversial — promises as a presidential candidate, Trump said he would block Muslims from entering the U.S. At the time, Haley appeared to distance herself from such a policy. Delivering the Republicans’ official 2016 State of the Union response, she said that America should resist following the “angriest voices” and welcome “properly vetted legal immigrants, regardless of their race or religion.”

PHOTO: Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley makes Indian bread in the kitchen of the Sis Ganj Gurudwara, a Sikh temple, in New Delhi, June 28, 2018.

Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley makes Indian bread in the kitchen of the Sis Ganj Gurudwara, a Sikh temple, in New Delhi, June 28, 2018.

Prakash Singh/AFP via Getty Images

According to AAPI Data, more than three-fourths of Indians and the majority of Asian voters overall voted for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton over Trump in 2016, a finding that echoes other exit polling. Haley went on to join Trump’s administration, leaving some in her own community wondering how strongly she felt about what she had said just 12 months before.

Sangay Mishra, an associate professor of political science at Drew University and the author of “Desi’s Divided: The Political Lives of South Asian Americans,” said the vast majority of the South Asian community feels strongly about issues like abortion rights, restricting guns and critical race theory.

“In politics it’s hard to predict how the community will react. But it’s clear it doesn’t align with how she thinks,” Mishra said.

‘An opportunity for Haley’

But can Haley align South Asian donors?

Indian Americans have the highest levels of income in the country, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics, a feat that’s often connected to the 1960s when the U.S. specifically engineered a demographic of highly professional immigrants. (Harris and Haley have something else in common that researchers said is powerful — they are byproducts of this era, with both of their parents coming to America around this time.)

An analysis done by The Los Angeles Times a few months into the 2020 Democratic primary race found that despite Indian Americans being a small demographic, they had donated more than $3 million to presidential campaigns — more than people in Hollywood.

Mishra told ABC News he created a list of major bundlers during the Obama administration and the number of South Asian names was a fairly big list compared to the population. “They were overwhelmingly going for the Democratic Party,” he said.

“What has not been noticed is this growth of a segment of Indian Americans who are affluent, and that goes back to the character of the community,” Mishra said.

Data from FiveThirtyEight details just the donations that South Asians made to other South Asian candidates running for House or Senate seats from 2000-2020. The numbers, especially for Democratic candidates, have exploded.

Haley’s former spokesperson Rob Godfrey said he remembered her being embraced by such donors while running in South Carolina. “Members of the South Asian community, members of the Indian community, have always been traditionally Democratic,” he acknowledged. “But when Nikki ran for governor, there was no shortage of support for her from the South Asian and Indian communities because they had a lot of great pride in her candidacy … she very much enjoyed the support of them within the state and they were very generous contributors to her campaign, from New Jersey to Chicago to California to Texas.”

Sadwani said that when it comes to South Asians though, her research showed that the numbers won’t be enough to tip the scale.

Haley’s announcement video, on Tuesday, highlighted her heritage and her optimistic vision of a society unencumbered by racial division.

“I was the proud daughter of Indian immigrants,” Haley said in her video, adding: “My mom would always say, ‘Your job is not to focus on the differences but the similarities.'”

Sadwani said that message isn’t for the South Asian community — it’s for everyone else.

“We’re talking more conservative-leaning Latinos, other Asian Americans and even plenty of of non-immigrant voters who are completely opposed to the age old story of the United States being a place that welcomes immigrants and might be disenchanted by the overt racial commentary, the negative stereotypes of a Trump administration, even while supporting many of the Trump-based policies,” Sadwani said. “I think this becomes an opportunity for Haley.”

Marianne Williamson is entering the chat

Marianne Williamson is entering the chat

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the people and power centers in the Biden administration. With help from Allie Bice.  

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PROGRAMMING NOTE: We’ll be off this Monday, Feb. 20 for Presidents Day but will be back in your inboxes on Tuesday, Feb. 21. We hope absence makes the heart grow fonder.

It’s not unheard of in modern American politics for an incumbent president to face a primary challenger. RONALD REAGAN ran against President GERALD FORD in 1976, TED KENNEDY took on President JIMMY CARTER in 1980 and PAT BUCHANAN ran against President GEORGE H.W. BUSH in the 1992 primary.

As President JOE BIDEN gets ready for an expected reelection campaign, no competitive Democrat seems likely to challenge him. But that doesn’t mean that a longshot candidate won’t jump into the race. In fact, we may get one soon.

MARIANNE WILLIAMSON, the self-help author who went viral during the 2020 Democratic primary for her debate moments before dropping out ahead of the Iowa caucuses, appears on the verge of announcing she’s running again. Williamson spoke with West Wing Playbook this week about her decision and why she doesn’t think that Biden is the right person to lead the party. Here’s a condensed, edited version of our conversation.

First, have you decided whether to run for president in 2024?

I’ll be making a statement this weekend.

If you were to run, would it be as a Democrat, or an independent?

Absolutely a Democrat.

What’s factoring into your decision?

Apparently Biden’s going to run on a message that the economy is getting stronger. I think that speaks to the disconnect between the analysis of party elites versus the struggle of everyday Americans. We’re being asked to limit our political imaginations — to just accept the low unemployment and low inflation rate, that that is sort of the best that we can get. 

But that is a hollow victory. The majority of Americans are still struggling to survive. 

Is there anything that you think Biden has done a good job on?

If Build Back Better had passed, that would have been quite extraordinary. But there’s a lot of sleight of hand here. 

For instance, there is more money in the Inflation Reduction Act given to green energy investment, all of which is good. But on the other hand, once again, there are more drilling permits than even were given under the Trump administration.

[Note: Biden approved more oil and gas drilling permits on public lands in his first two years in office than President DONALD TRUMP.]

What are your thoughts on the changes to the Democratic primary calendar? 

How can the Democratic Party present itself as a champion of democracy and do something as undemocratic as overtly engineering the primary schedule to make sure that their chosen candidate would win it? 

That is spitting in the face of democracy. 

Ok, so if you run with this primary calendar, what would be your strategy? 

My strategy would be to tell the truth as I understand it. Did Donald Trump in 2016 have a strategy? I don’t think he had a strategy. He hit a nerve. 

Your critics say you have no conceivable path forward and that running again is a vanity project.

Abolitionists would not have thought that abolishing slavery was possible. The suffragists would have had days when they didn’t think women’s suffrage was possible. Civil rights workers would have thought that desegregation wasn’t possible. 

Biden has been discussing his decision about whether to seek reelection with his family members. What does that process look like for you?

In discussing it with my daughter recently, she said, “I do wish you had a less stressful dream.”

You moved to Washington, D.C. a few years ago. How has living here influenced you?

The problem is that those in power do not have the solutions and those with solutions do not have the power. 

It’s almost heartbreaking to see all the people in this town, who work for NGOs who work for humanitarian organizations, who are talking about green energy, regenerative agriculture, climate change, carbon sequestration, peace building — the most they can get is a returned phone call. That is not the way to run a government.

What did the media get wrong about you in the last campaign cycle?

Where should I begin?

I’m certainly not anti-science. I’m not anti-vax. I’m not the crystal lady. I didn’t tell people they got sick because they didn’t pray enough. Basically, I’m not stupid. 

Can you say any more about your weekend plans?

I will be in New Hampshire.

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This one is from Allie. Who was the only president to get married in the White House?

(Answer at the bottom.)

TGIF! It’s cartoon feature time. This one is by MIKE LUCKOVICH. Our very own MATT WUERKER publishes a selection of cartoons from all over the country. View the cartoon carousel here.

A NOD TO MENTAL HEALTH: Biden tweeted his support Friday for Sen. JOHN FETTERMAN (D-Pa.), who checked himself in for treatment for clinical depression this week. “Millions of people struggle with depression every day, often in private,” Biden wrote. “Getting the care you need is brave and important. We’re grateful to you for leading by example.”

Press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE also opened her portion of Friday’s briefing by recognizing Fetterman for doing “the brave thing” and highlighted the administration’s “unprecedented investments” in expanding access to mental health.

HARRIS IN DEUTSCHLAND: Vice President KAMALA HARRIS offered a preview of her remarks at the Munich Security Conference in an interview with NBC’s ANDREA MITCHELL. In the interview, she vowed that the U.S. will not waver in its support for Ukraine. “I know the American people feel a sense of moral outrage and a sense of responsibility for our nation to stand with the Ukrainian people,” she said.

Harris also took issue with two possible GOP challengers to a potential Biden-Harris ticket in 2024. She called Florida Gov. RON DESANTIS’ effort to restrict the teaching of Black history “wrong-headed” and dismissed former South Carolina Gov. NIKKI HALEY’s suggestion that Biden, at 80, is too old to seek another term.

The sit-down with Mitchell is the first television interview Harris has done while overseas since speaking with NBC’s LESTER HOLT on her June 2021 trip to Guatemala, when she struggled to articulate the administration’s border security strategy.

BETTER LATE THAN NEVER?: The administration is finally responding more forcefully to a coordinated campaign by the nation’s biggest HMOs to fight proposed changes to Medicare Advantage. As we wrote last week, several Republicans have seized on the group’s claim that the changes proposed by the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services amount to a cut.

On Friday, Health and Human Services Secretary XAVIER BECERRA hit back in a lengthy Twitter thread, calling claims of cuts to Medicare Advantage “categorically false,” and blasting the “deep-pocketed insurance companies and industry front groups” for suggesting as much. HHS also put out a fact sheet “correcting the record.” But the slow-footed response has frustrated some Biden aides, according to two sources familiar with the matter, given that the industry’s campaign has complicated Biden’s broadsides over GOP calls for cutting Medicare.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ: This report by the Washington Post’s HANNAH NATANSON and LORI ROZSA on concerns about DeSantis’ threat to eliminate Advanced Placement courses from Florida high schools. Such a move, parents worry, could put students at a competitive disadvantage given that AP courses and test results often boost college applicants and, in some cases, reduce tuition costs. The president himself tweeted out the piece Friday, elevating the issue – and a potential 2024 challenger. “I think every kid, in every zip code, in every state should have access to every education opportunity possible,” Biden wrote. “I guess, for some, that isn’t the consensus view.”