Miami’s hot housing market tough area for first-time buyers

Miami’s hot housing market tough area for first-time buyers

Miami’s

Miami-Dade continues to be a rough place for renters to become initially-time homebuyers. Santiago Rodriguez and Alice Teodoro pose in the rooftop pool area at the Paraiso Bay Views rental making in Edgewater, the place he bought a rental they’ll transfer into this summertime.

pportal@miamiherald.com

Growing up in Miami, Vince Rives knew he wanted to stay local, because he’s close to his Cuban family. Raised between his parents’ house in Kendall and his grandparents abode in Westchester, Rives, 29, recalled a happy childhood.

Weekends were spent in the backyard by the pool with his two siblings, cousin, grandparents and parents eating barbecue and his father’s famous black beans.

Three years ago, Rives thought about leaving his family’s new home in Coral Terrace for a place of his own. After marrying in December 2020, he and his wife moved in with his parents, so they could save money for a down payment to buy a three-bedroom townhouse.

As a multimedia producer in the communications department at Florida International University, he makes $60,000 a year. Together, he and his wife, Maria, earn $120,000 and a little extra from working side gigs. They looked in Westchester, Kendall, Homestead, and Doral, their favorite area, for a $350,000 home.

Three years later, the couple is still searching — eventually hoping to become first-time homeowners. Many other aspiring buyers in Miami-Dade are in the same boat as the Rives, unable to pay what it typically costs to buy their first home in a pricey housing market.

Indeed, the number of purchases made by first-time homebuyers countywide declined in 2022 from the prior year, according to anecdotal information from real estate experts at Florida International University and the Housing Finance Authority of Miami-Dade. They blame escalating mortgage interest rates and median home sales prices well north of $500,000 for blocking many people from attaining homeownership.

Although local data wasn’t available, the share of first-time buyers among total U.S. home purchases in 2022 fell to a record low of 26{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502}, according to the National Association of Realtors. That was down from 34{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} last year, a peak of 50{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} in 2010, and the lowest mark since 1981, when the Realtors’ group started compiling the annual data.

Miami-Dade has priced out first-time homebuyers long before the pandemic emerged in March 2020. Foreign transplants and low wages made it more difficult to buy. The pandemic exacerbated tight housing conditions with the arrival of deep-pocketed buyers from across the country, particularly New York City, Boston and Chicago.

“We’ve been going through this for three years,” Vince Rives said of losing out to buyers who offer more than the asking prices. “… I can’t imagine how much crazier it’s going to get. It’s difficult. I would always say Miami is the American dream. People left their country to have a better life for their family [here]. At the moment, it’s unattainable.”

Housing inventory remains slim, although there’s a greater supply on the market than a year ago. Miami-Dade had 9,880 homes, including condos, houses and townhouses, for sale in March. That’s up from 6,594 listings year ago, but far fewer than the 23,363 homes on the market in March 2019, the year before the pandemic, according to Multiple Listing Service data and Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices EWM Realty’s real estate agent Scott Shuffield. That means first-time buyers have fewer homes to pick from in a competitive housing market.

Interest rates present another challenge. As of Thursday, Freddie Mac reported an average 6.27{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} fixed rate for a 30-year mortgage, considerably more than the 5{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} average a year ago. Midpoint prices have fallen in Miami-Dade from the peaks reached last year — $579,000 for single-family houses in June and $415,000 for condominiums in May. Still, they remain high, standing at $555,000 for houses and $390,000 for condos.

For first-time buyers, the silver lining is many Miami-Dade lenders offer those qualified down payment assistance programs to land their first homes, real estate experts said. And so far this year, the county’s sizzling housing market has begun to cool.

“If they are able to afford a home, they have more negotiation power than they might have had a year ago,” said Eli Beracha, real estate professor and director of FIU’s Tibor and Sheila Hollo School of Real Estate. “Listings are sitting longer on the market. Buyers are able to negotiate the price a little bit more.”

From aspiring to buying

For the past 15 years, Santiago Rodriguez was a renter in South Florida. At 14, he moved with his mom from Bogota, Colombia. She came for better work opportunities. The diversity of Miami kept him here.

“As an adult, it is one of the cities that has a mix of cultures like New York, but it’s a new city with more opportunities,” Rodriguez said. “And the sun is shining most of the time.”

He’s rented in Midtown Miami and, more recently, in Mid-Beach. Everything changed a year ago. As a real estate agent for Douglas Elliman and the founder of the real estate investment and property management firm Stayplus, Rodriguez thought investing in the real estate market would be wise. That’s when he decided to start saving to buy a home, putting 30{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of his income into savings and investing through the financial service application Robinhood Markets.

After a six-month home search starting in January 2022, a deal landed in his lap. One of his clients who rented her condo decided to sell. She offered it to Rodriguez for the same price she paid for it three years ago.

He jumped at the offer, buying the 1,000-square-foot condo, with a bedroom and den on the 40th floor of the Paraiso Bay Views condominium in Edgewater, for $433,000. Rodriguez and his wife, Alice Teodoro, will move in this summer.

“It was amazing. The closing date was on my birthday,” he said. The lesson he learned that helped him land his first home? Sharing his homebuying plans. “It’s good to tell everyone that you’re looking, because you never know who they might know that might be selling.”

Newlyweds Santiago Rodriguez and Alice Teodoro in a lounge at the Paraiso Bay Views in Edgewater, where he bought a one-bedroom condo.
Newlyweds Santiago Rodriguez and Alice Teodoro in a lounge at the Paraiso Bay Sights in Edgewater, the place he purchased a a person-bed room apartment. Pedro Portal pportal@miamiherald.com

Financial checklist

Before starting their home search, real estate experts said striving first-time owners should reduce credit card debt, save six months of income and make sure they have a credit score of at least 660.

Since it usually takes years to save for a down payment on a home, it might come as no surprise that the median age of a first-time homebuyer in Miami-Dade was 32 and in Broward 33 as of 2021, according to the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey. Nationally, last year the typical first-time buyer was 36, the oldest since the U.S. Realtors’ group began tracking such data over 40 years ago.

For those ready to become homeowners, experts say start by choosing a real estate agent. Berkshire Hathaway’s Shuffield said an agent will recommend a lender known for providing residential mortgages to those desiring to buy their initial homes. The lender will prepare the underwriting documents, lock in a mortgage rate and recommend down payment assistance programs.

In Shuffield’s experience, his area first-time buyer clients typically spend between $300,000 and $600,000 on a condo or townhouse, or $550,000 and $850,000 on a house. He said they often find the best deals on condos in Kendall and Dadeland and on houses in Westchester and West Miami.

Once a buyer finds an appealing home, Shuffield said move quickly with an offer, within 24 hours. The seller will consider the offer and, if choosing it, sign a contract and send it to the buyer. The buyer has 30 days, the first week of which should include a home inspection. The buyer can renegotiate the price if an inspector identifies much-needed upgrades. A buyer who gets cold feet also has the right to cancel a deal within that time.

“In any market, it’s scary as the first-time homebuyer. It’s your largest investment,” Shuffield said. ”In some ways, it’s like getting married. It can be scary at first, but it’s the excitement that gets you through it.”

Government help

The United States was primarily a nation of renters until the 1920s, said Paul George, HistoryMiamiMuseum’s resident historian. The Roaring Twenties changed priorities. Banks and mortgage companies stepped into lend to aspiring homeowners. The federal government started helping decades later during World War II.

After funding construction of public housing, Franklin D. Roosevelt’s administration turned to housing assistance for veterans in 1944 with the start of the G.I. Bill. It came on the heels of the public criticizing the government’s lack of benefits for veterans after World War I. The rest, as they say, is history as federal, county and local homebuyer programs began.

Dan Suarez, 30, who served three years in the U.S. Navy, plans to lean on Veterans United for a mortgage with a zero down payment. After his military stint, Suarez used the G.I. Bill to attend the University of Central Florida in Orlando. He graduated last summer with a degree in accounting. He landed a job with Miami-Dade County as an accountant, earning $46,000 a year. The thought of staying in Orlando appealed to him, but growing up between Kendall and Homestead, he was drawn back home to his family in Miami. He now lives at home with his parents, while he saves for a one-bedroom condo in or near the urban core.

He started hunting for a home in January with a $176,000 budget, the maximum allowed by Veterans United based on his credit score.

He hopes to score a home before the summer, when he’ll begin graduate studies in accounting. If he doesn’t achieve his goal, Suarez said, he plans to rent his own place. He wants a fresh start.

“It is so expensive. Should I pay $2,000 and HOA for a place I don’t care for or should I pay $2,000 for a place that I care for?” Suarez said. “I need my own space. I’m 30 living with my parents.”

The Housing Finance Authority of Miami-Dade, a government agency that provides assistance with down payment and closing costs to first-time homebuyers, helps households of up to two people that make a combined income of $97,500 and households of three people or more that together earn $112,125. It also has a home purchase price limit of $382,194 for a condo, townhouse or house. In addition to mortgage lending, the agency provides $15,000 towards a down payment to qualified first-time buyers.

The lending rules and income limitations are set by the federal government, said Housing Finance Authority chief financial officer Adela Garcia.

Some first-time buyers turn to their families for assistance. FIU history professor Keyao Pan landed his first home, a two-bedroom townhouse for about $300,000 in the Fontainebleau area, minutes from FIU’s main campus — thanks to his family.

Last year, Pan decided he would wrap a yearlong post doctorate fellowship at Harvard University and then move to Miami to accept a job at FIU. He intended to lean on his family for help with the down payment. After searching two months for a home, he and his family decided to make cash offers. That’s what helped him buy the place he moved into in August.

“Is anyone happy in this market,” Pan said. “The market doesn’t have a lot of niches that people need right now, like affordable housing. Miami seems to be in a paradox, where it is pushing people away. When the density isn’t there, people have to commute and live relatively far away from where they work in order to cut costs. If there is more reasonable planning, there might be better density and that might drive down prices, too.”

This is a south view of the Miami skyline from the rooftop pool area at Paraiso Bay Views condo building in Miami’s Edgewater neighborhood. Santiago Rodriguez and his wife Alicia Teodoro bought a one-bedroom home there.
This is a south view of the Miami skyline from the rooftop pool location at Paraiso Bay Views apartment making in Miami’s Edgewater neighborhood. Santiago Rodriguez and his spouse Alicia Teodoro bought a one-bedroom property there. Pedro Portal pportal@miamiherald.com

Resources for first-time buyers

Experts recommend:

▪ Housing Finance Authority of Miami-Dade

▪ Florida Housing Finance Corporation

▪ Miami-Dade Economic Advocacy Trust

This tale was initially printed April 16, 2023, 5:30 AM.

Barclays Says These 2 Automotive Stocks Are Hot Buys Right Now

Barclays Says These 2 Automotive Stocks Are Hot Buys Right Now

Let us take a appear at the automotive business, which is undergoing a dramatic transformation. We’re in the center of a change from common combustion engine vehicles to electric autos, and at the similar time the marketplace is also introducing new technologies – this sort of AI, driver support, and enhanced sensors – into the cars and trucks we generate.

In a latest report from British isles banking giant Barclays, analyst Dan Levy notes that “Auto providers will have to harmony two clocks – the ‘near’ (i.e. cycle) and the ‘far’ (i.e. secular – electrification, autonomous, and program-described vehicles).” Levy goes on to observe that some car – and automotive-connected – firms will decide on one particular route or the other – though other people will test to wander with a foot in each and every camp. He closes his thesis by pointing out, “This balancing act has implications for margins, cash allocation, and organizational structure.”

It is really a fascinating glimpse at the recent condition of the automotive market. Taken as a total, the rapidly evolving automotive ecosystem is presenting buyers with a huge selection of new options.

So let us consider a seem at two automotive stocks that in shape into Levy’s framework. The analyst sees them equally surging about 50{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} in the coming calendar year, and that is far more than adequate to justify a Get rating. Let’s get a closer search.

Rivian Automotive (RIVN)

We’ll get started in the EV sector, the place Rivian has taken an progressive strategy to the design and style of electric powered autos. Rivian has made a ‘skateboard’ system, a flexible EV chassis that has the electric powered generate technique created into it. The chassis also features pre-put in fittings for a assortment of battery techniques, permitting quick modification into a vary of stop-use motor vehicle varieties, primarily based on the system kind and seating systems preferred for the ultimate installation. In quick, it’s an EV with modularity constructed into it starting off at the manufacturing unit ground.

At present, Rivian is actively advertising its RT1 and RS1 designs, all-electrical mild truck and SUV types aimed at the purchaser current market, and an electric powered supply van, the EDV, for the business market place. The corporation boasts that it has in excess of 114,000 pre-orders for its autos, and has designed much more than 24,337 as of December 31, 2022. In the company’s previous creation update, for 4Q22, it confirmed 10,020 motor vehicles coming out of its Normal, Illinois facility – a 36{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} enhance quarter-around-quarter. Complete-yr deliveries totaled 20,332. The organization has stated that these creation quantities do not include the preliminary buy it has been given from Amazon for 100,000 EDVs.

It its 3Q22 quarterly report, the very last fiscal results launched, Rivian confirmed full revenues of $536 million, driven generally by the shipping of 6,584 finished motor vehicles. That marked the next quarter in a row that the enterprise had triple-digit revenues, although the gross income remained unfavorable, at a reduction of $917 million.

In spite of the huge reduction, Barclays’ Levy thinks buyers ought to take the chance to pull the induce on RIVN shares.

“While RIVN should handle key worries on its ramp / path to profitability, we however see RIVN as a best-of-breed option on two of the vital automotive megatrends – electrification and the software package-described auto. We are challenging pressed to see any company in the automobile landscape as the ‘next Tesla,’ as Tesla has been rather distinctive in its achievements. That claimed, if we had been to discover any of the start off-up EV automakers as the closest to Tesla (vis-à-vis defining properties), we believe it would be RIVN. RIVN thus significantly has recognized critical moats in merchandise and engineering,” Levy opined.

This qualified prospects Levy to price RIVN shares as Chubby (i.e. Acquire), and to established a $28 cost focus on that implies a one-year obtain of ~63{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502}. (To view Levy’s keep track of report, simply click listed here)

Levy’s stance signifies the bulls on Rivian, which has 14 recent Wall Avenue analyst evaluations on file. These include things like 10 Purchases, 3 Holds, and 1 Provide, for a Average Buy consensus rating. The inventory is selling for $17.12, and its $33.57 regular cost concentrate on is even much more bullish than the Barclays look at, suggesting ~96{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} upside in the following 12 months. (See Rivian stock forecast)

Mobileye Global, Inc. (MBLY)

Following up is Mobileye, a chief in the two driver help and automotive sensor systems. The enterprise presents its eponymous driving basic safety techniques, a set of sensors and alarms that help a vehicle’s operator manage a risk-free length from dangers of all types – other automobiles, lane markers, tough shoulders – in all instructions. The enterprise has partnered with in excess of 25 automakers all over the world for manufacturing unit installations of Mobileye as an solution on new cars and trucks relatively than just a retro-equipped after-industry products. The company is also included in the advancement of autonomous car units.

Mobileye features a variety of choices for its programs, for consumers to decide on from. At the lower stop is a very simple driver support, ranging up to comprehensive autonomous driving – though that final is continue to in prototype phases. Options consist of entrance cameras, 360-degree camera protection, and LiDAR sensors, for escalating sensitivity of the technique. The company’s autonomous methods are below enhancement for use in industrial deliveries, public transit, and robotic taxi services.

The enterprise elevated money last slide, and due to the fact then has produced two sets of quarterly money info. In the most modern, for Q4 and full-12 months 2022, Mobileye claimed a 59{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} yr-above-yr increase in revenues to $565 million, and a non-GAAP diluted EPS of 27 cents for each share. The EPS was a sharp increase from the 15 cents documented in the preceding quarter. Best of all, from an investor’s standpoint, Mobileye has a robust stability sheet with loads of reserves to go on funding new solution progress the organization experienced $1 billion in liquid assets, and zero net credit card debt as of December 31, 2022.

Over-all, this is a enterprise on its way up, in accordance to Barclays’ Levy. The analyst normally takes a strongly bullish stance, noting: “We believe that MBLY is the greatest-excellent pure-participate in in the marketplace leveraged to the secular megatrends of active basic safety/autonomous vehicles, which should push sturdy earnings advancement via at the very least the end of the ten years. In addition, we continue to be constructive on the catalyst backdrop this year, including continued good momentum in SuperVision awards and probable for MBLY to exceed its FY23 steering.”

This stance will come alongside with an Chubby (i.e. Buy) rating, and a $60 selling price goal that signifies the analyst’s assurance in a 56{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} upside for the one-year timeframe.

All in all, MBLY shares get a Robust Buy from the analyst consensus, centered on 19 the latest analyst assessments, which contain 14 Purchases and 2 Holds. The shares have an typical selling price focus on of $47.44 and a current trading selling price of $38.43, implying ~24{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} upside for the coming 12 months. (See Mobileye inventory forecast)

To discover fantastic ideas for stocks buying and selling at desirable valuations, go to TipRanks’ Very best Shares to Acquire, a resource that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

Disclaimer: The viewpoints expressed in this write-up are exclusively these of the showcased analysts. The information is meant to be made use of for informational reasons only. It is incredibly vital to do your individual assessment ahead of building any investment.

Florida real estate market staying hot despite agent exodus: ‘It’s not an accident’

Florida real estate market staying hot despite agent exodus: ‘It’s not an accident’

With new information on the variety of U.S. realtors indicating declining membership expansion this calendar year as agents head for the doorway in once-very hot markets, actual estate professionals predict Florida will stay steaming regardless of the exodus.

“It is really not an incident,” Countrywide Association of House Builders CEO Jerry Howard said Wednesday, “that there is certainly 1.9{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} [population] expansion in Florida. Florida is encouraging progress throughout all sectors, as are the Carolinas. And that is the place folks are going. That’s the place you can even now develop.”

On “Varney & Co.,” Howard’s commentary was paired with two Florida authentic estate leaders who made it distinct they’re not leaving the Sunshine State at any time soon – even even though property profits have decreased considering the fact that past year.

“There is just fewer transactions,” Echo Fantastic Attributes operator Jeff Lichtenstein explained to FOX Business’ Madison Alworth from Miami Seaside. “We’re about 40{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} down from December of very last yr compared to December of this yr. And so all that money from the stimulus funds, fascination prices went from 3{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} to 7{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502}, all that just has produced fewer transactions out there.”

U.S. HOUSING AFFORDABILITY HELL ‘CAN’T BEAT’ THE FLORIDA Heat

Not generating headwinds due to declining sale opportunities did not hold Echo Fantastic Houses agent Aviva Wittenberg again from beginning her profession in Florida 4 months in the past.

Florida home with for sale sign

Florida’s serious estate sector will keep on being incredibly hot as the state continues “encouraging growth throughout all sectors,” National Association of Property Builders CEO Jerry Howard explained Wednesday on “Varney & Co.” (Getty Pictures)

“Something that seriously labored for me is buying a broker that offers a great deal of aid, mentorship and lead generation. It’s really been vital to my good results in finding began,” Wittenberg also explained to Alworth.

Their remarks contradict a latest report from the Nationwide Association of Realtors in which the trade group expects membership to dip this 12 months just after January figures confirmed a substantial drop from its October 2022 peak.

Other marketplace gurus have echoed sentiments that Florida will defy a 2023 price correction, and its marketplace will continue on to mature.

“As prolonged as California and states like Massachusetts move actions like the mansion tax or the millionaire’s tax and keep on to drive ultra-large internet well worth persons out of their states, I believe that that this yr is likely to present balanced expansion for Miami and South Florida,” authentic estate pro Dina Goldentayer mentioned on “Mornings with Maria” previous thirty day period.

Howard, who oversees the major community of household craftsmen and innovators, included that Democrat-led states make it complicated to market housing affordability and offer.

“California, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Illinois, all are quite, really tough for builders to build any housing, enable by yourself housing for the initially time homebuyer market. So, yeah, there is certainly still some actual troubles.”

FOX Company hosts Katrina Campins and Cheryl Casone experienced also argued on “Mornings with Maria” very last month that Florida could see further advancement as additional residential offer is brought to current market.

“Affordability is the vital concern in this article,” Campins mentioned. “The average home finance loan amount is slated to be $2,430 in 2023, and which is a 28{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} increase than we observed last yr and nearly double what we noticed in 2021. I feel the silver lining is that there is more stock in the current market, 33.5{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} to be specific, which has delivered buyers with negotiating electrical power and additional concessions from sellers.”

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The “Mansion World-wide” host even more predicted rental industry development, and for Florida to “go on to outpace the complete nation.”

“What I’m looking at in Florida is that, yes, there’s significantly less gross sales, but you will find far more growth than wherever else in the country,” Campins added. “You also have states like Texas and Tennessee. We are continuing to see that migration, and especially in Florida.”

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FOX Business’ Kayla Bailey contributed to this report.