Record numbers of people are worse off, a recipe for political discontent: POLL

Record numbers of people are worse off, a recipe for political discontent: POLL

Four in 10 Americans say they’ve gotten worse off financially since Joe Biden became president, the most in ABC News/Washington Post polls dating back 37 years. Political fallout includes poor performance ratings for Biden and a tight hypothetical Biden/Trump rematch next year.

Given disaffection with both leaders, a rerun of the 2020 presidential election is hardly enticing: Nearly six in 10 Democratic-aligned adults don’t want to see Biden nominated again for the job, and half on the Republican side would rather not see Donald Trump as their party’s nominee.

If those were the choices and the election were today, the poll suggests it could be close: Among all adults, 48 percent support Donald Trump and 44 percent are for Biden; it’s a similar 48-45 percent among registered voters. The differences are within the poll’s margin of sampling error.

PHOTO: President Joe Biden speaks about the economy at Steamfitters Local 602 in Springfield, Va., Jan. 26, 2023.

President Joe Biden speaks about the economy at Steamfitters Local 602 in Springfield, Va., Jan. 26, 2023.

Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images

PHOTO: A customer shops in supermarket in New York, Jan. 31, 2023.

A customer shops in supermarket in New York, Jan. 31, 2023.

Richard B. Levine/Newscom

See PDF for full results, charts and tables.

The big hit on Biden is the economy: With inflation moderating but still high, 41 percent say they’re not as well off financially as they were when Biden took office, the most in nearly three dozen ABC/Post polls to ask the question since 1986, when Ronald Reagan, who popularized the “better off” phrase, held office. Just 16 percent in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, say they’re better off.

By contrast, nearly two years into Trump’s presidency, far fewer – 13 percent – said they’d gotten worse off; more, 25 percent, were in better shape financially.

Illustration

Personal Finances: Better or Worse?

ABC News/Washington Post polls

Biden’s overall job performance rating, 42-53 percent, approve-disapprove, has been under water, and steadily so, since September 2021. On issues, Biden has just 37 percent approval for handling the economy, 38 percent on the war in Ukraine and 28 percent on the immigration situation at the Mexican border.

Biden’s approval rating after two years in office is well below average compared with the previous 13 presidents. Three have been in about the same boat at this point (Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan) and one has been lower – Trump, at 37 percent, in polling by ABC/Post and previously Gallup. The pre-Biden average is 56 percent.

Illustration

Biden Job Approval

ABC News/Washington Post polls

EMOTIONS – Underscoring Biden’s challenges, many more Americans have a negative rather than positive emotional response to the prospect of his winning a second term: The public by a broad 62-36 percent would be disappointed or even angry if he were re-elected, rather than enthusiastic or satisfied.

Responses to a hypothetical Trump victory also are negative overall, but less so, 56-43 percent. Part of the reason is that Biden loses slightly more of his base – 26 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents would be unhappy if he were re-elected, compared with 20 percent of Republicans and GOP leaners who’d feel that way about a Trump win.

Trump occupies somewhat more space at the emotional extremes. Seventeen percent would be enthusiastic about his winning another term; 36 percent would be angry about it. Given a Biden re-election, fewer would be enthusiastic – 7 percent – but also fewer would be angry, 30 percent.

Illustration

Emotional Responses to Biden/Trump

ABC News/Washington Post poll

DOCUMENTGATE – For all his woes, Biden outpoints Trump on another measure – their apparent mishandling of classified government documents. Forty-five percent of adults think Trump intentionally did something illegal in his handling of classified documents after he left office as president. Many fewer, 27 percent, say the same about Biden after his vice presidency.

Illustration

Handling of Classified Documents: Trump and Biden

ABC News/Washington Post poll

That doesn’t mean Biden is fully off the hook in terms of public attitudes on the issue. Forty-eight percent think he acted wrongly, but not intentionally, in handling classified documents. Just 16 percent think he did nothing wrong. Twenty-nine percent think Trump was unintentionally wrong; 20 percent see no wrongdoing on his part.

BETTER OFF? – Inflation peaked at 9.1 percent in last June, a 40-year high; it’s eased since but remained a still-high 6.5 percent in December. That’s produced widespread economic pain. Nearly two years into Trump’s presidency, 25 percent of Americans said they’d gotten better off since he took office. As noted, fewer, 16 percent, now say the same about life under Biden.

After Trump’s first year, just 13 percent felt worse off financially. That spiked to 35 percent under Biden a year ago, and its level now, 41 percent, is the most measured in 33 ABC/Post polls since September 1986. The previous high was 36 percent among registered voters in September 2011, amid a plethora of economic troubles including 9 percent unemployment.

Economic sentiment is subject to partisan influence; 72 percent of Republicans say they’ve gotten worse off under Biden (more than any other group), while just 12 percent of Democrats say the same. The trouble for Biden is that it’s 39 percent among independents, vs. 11 percent worse off among independents in 2018.

Illustration

Better/Worse Off

ABC News/Washington Post polls

Biden’s approval rating is vastly lower among worse-off Americans than others – unsurprising given the disproportionate number of Republicans in their ranks. Perhaps more telling, given independents’ usual swing-voter role, is this: Among worse-off independents, Biden has a mere 12 percent approval rating and Trump leads him in vote preference by 82-8 percent. Among independents who are in the same shape or better off financially as when he took office, by contrast, Biden’s approval vaults to 67 percent and he leads Trump by 62-29 percent.

Worse-off independents disproportionately lean Republican and better/same independents largely lean Democratic. Nonetheless, because independents are less firmly rooted in partisan predispositions, they can be movable – making their economic sentiment a measure to watch as the 2024 campaign heats up.

NOMINATION NATION – Just 31 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say the party should nominate Biden for re-election; 58 percent say it should pick someone else. That’s no better than it was for Biden last September, 35-56 percent.

Two Democratic groups stand out as most opposed to Biden for the nomination – younger adults and Democratic-leaning independents. Among 18- to 39-year-olds, 69 percent would like to see the party choose someone other than Biden, who already is the nation’s oldest president. Anti-Biden sentiment on this measure reaches 72 percent among independents.

Still, even among mainline Democrats, just 39 percent would like to see Biden as the nominee; 50 percent think not. Indeed, the only group in which he’s even numerically above water in support for the nomination is Black Democrats, who divide 47-41 percent on the question. The sample size for that group is small and the difference is within the margin of error.

On the Republican side, overall 44 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents would like to see Trump as the party’s nominee, similar to 47 percent in September; these compare with 67 percent support for him to be the nominee heading into the 2020 contest. Forty-nine percent now would like to see the party pick a different candidate.

The most pro-Trump group among Republicans and GOP leaners is those who call themselves very conservative – 55 percent back him for the nomination, the only group to do so by a statistically significant margin. His other best groups, at 52 percent support, are non-college graduates, rural residents and those with lower household incomes. Most opposed to Trump in the GOP ranks are college graduates (67 percent), people with higher incomes (66 percent), GOP-leaning independents (61 percent) and moderates (56 percent).

Illustration

Support for the 2024 Nomination

ABC News/Washington Post poll

APPROVAL and VOTE – Among other results, Biden’s approval rating remains highly polarized; 81 percent of Democrats approve of his work, compared with 6 percent of Republicans; it’s 45 percent among independents. Compare to Trump at this point in his presidency – 78 percent from Republicans, 12 percent among Democrats.

A key difference is independents, who gave Trump a 32 percent approval rating, 13 percentage points lower than Biden’s from independents now.

That said – and while it’s very early in the cycle – independents today support Trump over Biden by 50-40 percent, a slight difference, meaning it’s significant at the 90 percent confidence level rather than the customary 95 percent confidence. There are miles to go before November 2024, but it’s worth keeping in mind that in nine of the last 12 elections, whoever won independents won the presidency.

METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Jan. 27-Feb. 1, 2023, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 percentage points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 26-25-40 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates, with sampling and data collection by Abt Associates of Rockville, Md. See details on the survey’s methodology here.

Americans are pessimistic about the economy this year despite positive signs

Americans are pessimistic about the economy this year despite positive signs

By a lot of accounts, the U.S. economic system is firing on all cylinders—or at minimum a large amount of cylinders. Inflation has come down markedly due to the fact previous summer, genuine GDP has grown nearly 17{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} given that the pandemic-induced 2020 recession, and companies added a document 4.5 million positions in 2022, a selecting trend that has ongoing into the new yr right after final week’s explosive January work opportunities report introduced the unemployment level down to 3.4{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502}, a 53-yr small.

But all the superior financial information in the entire world could not be plenty of to reverse Americans’ stubborn pessimism in direction of the financial system, the inventory current market, and every thing in concerning.

The the vast majority of People are predicting inflation and curiosity prices will increase around the next 6 months, and they are likewise pessimistic on the prospective customers of economic progress and inventory current market effectiveness around the very same period, in accordance to a new poll produced by Gallup Monday. 

Previous month’s CPI report extended the yearly inflation rate’s drop streak to six consecutive months, and calendar year-in excess of-calendar year inflation now hovers at 6.5{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502}. But 67{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of U.S. grown ups are forecasting inflation to increase once again in the first half of the calendar year, which include 39{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} who say it will “go up a good deal,” in accordance to the Gallup poll, which gathered outcomes between Jan. 2 and Jan. 22. Practically 3-quarters of People in america be expecting desire premiums to keep on climbing in excess of the subsequent 6 months and drag down economic progress, and 43{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} say it will slow this 12 months. As for unemployment, 41{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of People in america say it will start out trending upward in the up coming couple of months.

In light of the good economic news of the past several months, numerous the moment-pessimistic economists including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers have brightened up on the economy’s prospective clients. And whilst current forecasts have emphasised the existing financial landscape’s strangeness and uncertainty, the newest Gallup outcomes underscore the resilience of American gloominess, as perfectly as the widening gulf among the reality of modern economic indicators and public perception.

The great information

Highlighting the escalating disconnect in economic sights is the problem of whether or not the U.S. overall economy is presently in a economic downturn. Pretty much 50 {515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of Us residents say it is, in accordance to a January study by Early morning Check with, but most indicators right now are pointing to an overall economy that appears to be everything but recession-like.

Small unemployment and a powerful labor industry are not signals of an financial system ordinarily contracting, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen explained in a Monday interview with ABC’s Fantastic Morning The usa.

“You never have a recession when you have 500,000 employment and the least expensive unemployment rate in extra than 50 many years,” she claimed, adding that the economic climate appropriate now is wanting “strong and resilient.”

Slower wage development and weakening client shelling out in the very last number of months of last year also assist the argument that inflation is on its way down, while these very same things have also dealt a blow to American workers, and might have lended to damaging views on the economic climate. Inflation has been especially challenging for the U.S. center course, which has had to dip into personal savings just to get by. 

Wages grew by 1{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} in the final quarter of 2022, and rose 5.1{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} around the complete year, but simply because of high inflation, genuine wages however declined 1.2{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} final yr.

Prevailing pessimism

But if the new financial news has all pointed in a good direction, why are most People in america nonetheless so pessimistic?

An significant issue could be a inclination to affiliate the inventory market’s efficiency with that of the financial state, in accordance to the Gallup poll. As opposed to latest optimistic news bordering inflation and employment, markets have been in a rut for the previous 12 months, and forecasts aren’t betting on a restoration until the stop of 2023 at the very least.

Only 31{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of People in america polled by Gallup expect the inventory market place to improve in the to start with 50 {515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of 2023, while a file-substantial 48{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} forecast it to tumble even further as fascination prices continue on to increase. 

Partisanship also performed a job in Americans’ gloominess, with Republicans’ expectations that inflation will increase 23 percentage details higher than Democrats. Republicans have been also extra likely to hold pessimistic views in the direction of the inventory market’s functionality, economic progress, and work.

Republicans have been a lot more gloomy about the overall economy since very last 12 months. Even though additional than half of Individuals described their own money situation as superior in a December study by AP-NORC, 59{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of Democrats explained the economic climate overall as “poor,” compared to 90{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} of Republicans.

President Biden has been routinely criticized by Republican lawmakers more than the earlier calendar year for his administration’s managing of inflation and community expending plans, together with final year’s Inflation Reduction Act. But Biden is envisioned to double down on current financial fantastic news during Tuesday’s State of the Union handle and for his probably 2024 reelection marketing campaign. 

Master how to navigate and improve belief in your organization with The Have faith in Variable, a weekly newsletter analyzing what leaders have to have to be successful. Indication up below.

Stock market is basically going nowhere for the rest of the year: Goldman Sachs

Stock market is basically going nowhere for the rest of the year: Goldman Sachs

Investors have witnessed the greatest the inventory marketplace has to present in 2023, in accordance to Goldman Sachs.

“A tender landing — and in reality earlier mentioned-craze development — is by now priced in U.S. equities. Valuations are elevated vs. history and will be constrained by an eventual rise in curiosity charges. Even preventing economic downturn, earnings are not likely to improve significantly in 2023,” Goldman Sachs main U.S. fairness strategist David Kostin wrote in a new take note on Monday.

Kostin lifted his 12 months end S&P 500 value concentrate on to 4,000 from 3,600, but he additional the debt-ceiling debate is very likely to be a key hazard. The S&P 500 at present resides at 4,111 immediately after a good 7{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} yr-to-date rally.

The closely viewed strategist explained choices to U.S. shares these kinds of as non-U.S. shares, credit rating, and funds provide “outstanding” possibility-modified return prospective buyers.

To be positive, the rally across the significant indices (the Dow Jones Industrial Regular and Nasdaq Composite are up 14{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502} and 3{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502}, respectively) this 12 months has taken numerous execs like Kostin by shock.

For starters, the Federal Reserve is fresh off an additional fascination amount hike as it carries on to try out and combat nagging inflation.

While the Fed is greatly expected to pause its price improves this year, the timing is wildly uncertain. That leaves buyers staring down the barrel of potentially a number of additional price raises that could have the effect of slowing the financial system and compressing inventory valuation multiples.

Meanwhile, Company The united states is slogging by means of a disappointing earnings time that arguably will not justify the market’s 2023 progress.

Large family title organizations these as Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), and Starbucks (SBUX) have not only whiffed on fourth quarter earnings estimates but also offered careful ahead-looking commentary.

Apple CEO Tim Cook gestures at an Apple event at their headquarters in Cupertino, California, U.S. September 7, 2022. REUTERS/Carlos Barria

Apple CEO Tim Cook gestures at an Apple party at their headquarters in Cupertino, California, U.S. September 7, 2022. REUTERS/Carlos Barria

Earnings growth hasn’t been there, either.

The blended earnings decline for the S&P 500 for the fourth quarter is monitoring at 5.3{515baef3fee8ea94d67a98a2b336e0215adf67d225b0e21a4f5c9b13e8fbd502}, according to FactSet. If that retains as the genuine drop, it will mark the very first year-on-calendar year earnings decline reported by the index since the 3rd quarter of 2020.

The combination of further rate will increase and pressured company income margins has many others execs on the Road aside from Kostin on view for a pullback.

“If we seem at market pricing so much this 12 months, it really is not even pricing in a tender landing. It’s pricing in takeoff. It is really pricing inflation to occur down. It can be pricing development to stay clear of a economic downturn altogether. It can be also pricing in central banking companies chopping rates setting up mid this calendar year. So that is actually markets are priced for perfection,” BlackRock world wide main expense strategist Wei Li reported on Yahoo Finance Live on Friday (complete video clip at the prime of this tale).

“And in the close to term, over and above FOMO and chasing momentum, it is really tough to see a basic explanation for stocks to maintain pushing larger,” Li included.

Brian Sozzi is an editor-at-big and anchor at Yahoo Finance. Abide by Sozzi on Twitter @BrianSozzi and on LinkedIn.

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Inside moving exhibits at L.A.’s Petersen Automotive Museum

Inside moving exhibits at L.A.’s Petersen Automotive Museum

Jennifer Yates is directing traffic today — a routine happening as part of her job as head registrar at the Petersen Automotive Museum.

This late January afternoon, however, traffic is especially gnarly — and not because it’s a Friday. Several valuable vehicles are arriving at — or leaving — the museum today, a coincidental calendar smashup that has Yates ping-ponging between projects.

First, there were the Hetfield Collection cars, donated to the museum in 2019 by Metallica’s James Hetfield, Yates says while striding up and down South Orange Grove Avenue, a side street onto which the museum’s car elevator deposits vehicles from the mechanics shop below. Those 10 customized cars had been on view at LeMay — America’s Car Museum in Tacoma, Wash., and just returned home. Two of the tractor trailer trucks that transported them are still sitting on Orange Grove next to the museum’s parking garage exit, their back ends open and motors humming. Earlier that morning, two McLaren luxury “supercars,” which had been on loan to the museum, were returned to their owner.

The day’s main event, however, is the sendoff of two rare vehicles heading on an international road trip — a 1937 Mercedes-Benz W 125 Grand Prix car, sleek and silver, along with a dark gold luxury prototype, a 1970 Mercedes-Benz Type C 111-ll experimental sports car. Both were on view at the Petersen’s recently closed exhibition, “Andy Warhol: Cars — Works From the Mercedes-Benz Art Collection.” As part of a commission from Mercedes in the mid-’80s, Warhol created 36 silkscreens and 13 drawings of eight different Mercedes models. Most of those artworks and five of the cars that inspired them — four originals and a replica — were on view in the Petersen exhibition.

“It’s an all-hands-on-deck kind of thing,” Yates says of exhibit deinstallation, which includes the return of the cars to their owners. “There are a lot of moving parts.”

The other Warhol cars are in storage, awaiting transfer back to U.S. lenders, and the Petersen owns one of the cars. The two Mercedes, however, are the only ones traveling internationally and are now readying to hit the road. They’ll brave Los Angeles’ rush-hour traffic en route to L.A. International Airport before boarding a flight to Luxembourg. Their ultimate destination? The Mercedes-Benz Museum in Stuttgart, Germany.

Three men push a 1937 Mercedes-Benz W 125 Grand Prix car.

Paul Montero, from left, Tony Clark and David Sanchez push the 1937 Mercedes-Benz W 125 toward the elevator of the Petersen Automotive Museum’s mechanics shop to begin its journey back to Germany. Handlers are taught to place their hands in only certain places on cars when moving them to reduce the chances of damage.

(Nick Agro / For The Times)

Down in the mechanics shop — a vast area with gleaming, polished concrete floors, automotive tools tucked in shiny, red metal cabinets and rows of classic cars, in a spectrum of colors dating to 1910 — Yates does a pretrip inspection.

The elongated W 125 race car sits discreetly against a back wall, near a 1948 Jaguar “Black Pearl,” which is near a 1937 Ford custom “Crimson Ghost” coupe, which is near a 1954 Mercedes W 196 Formula 1 Grand Prix car — the latter also displayed in the Warhol exhibit and one of the most valuable cars in the world. Yates circles the race car that’s soon headed for Germany, scrutinizing its condition and snapping detail shots with her red, rubber-encased iPad. This is for an inspection condition report, she explains, to record even the tiniest scuffs, scratches or any other flaws, a process undertaken when the cars arrive and when they leave the museum. Hundreds of pictures will be taken.

The process is not unlike a rental car agent inspecting a vehicle upon return, just that the stakes are higher. Yates isn’t allowed to divulge insurance values, she says, except to say: “One of the cars is in the seven figures, the other the eight figures.”

The interior of the 1937 Mercedes-Benz W 125 Grand Prix racer.

The interior of the 1937 Mercedes-Benz W 125 Grand Prix racer features a mahogany steering wheel.

(Nick Agro / For The Times)

The open-wheel W 125 Grand Prix car has a mahogany steering wheel, plush gray interior and is entirely open-air, with no roof. Its lightweight aluminum, tube-like design was effective: The car only raced one season — 1937 — but won six races and finished second nine times and third six times.

The Type C 111-ll was an experimental prototype model that never went into production. It was built to test new technologies and likely driven for promotional purposes at auto shows. With its leather steering wheel, sleek, low-slung design and black check interior, it says nothing if not James Bond.

A man reaches into a car to grasp the steering wheel while looking behind him

Charlie Kyurklyan, car transporter with JP Logistics, adjusts the steering wheel of the 1970 Mercedes Type C 111-II experimental vehicle before it’s loaded onto a truck headed to LAX.

(Nick Agro / For The Times)

Suddenly, there is movement in the mechanics shop. A car porter and technician begin manually pushing the Type C 111-ll. which has gull-wing doors that open upwards, into the vast elevator.

“We try not to turn the cars on, especially if we don’t own them,” Yates says. “We don’t want to be liable for any mechanical issues. It’s safer to push it.”

Yates follows the vehicle into the elevator, still snapping photos. An employee from the transport company also takes photos — coincidentally, also with a red rubber-encased iPad. The theme of the day seems to be CYA (Google it): “I’m documenting that it’s not being mishandled,” Yates says, later adding that the museum’s insurance covers the cars “door to door.”

The porters are trained to place their hands as they push the car in only particular spots — such as on the wheels or bumper — where it’s more structurally sound and won’t suffer damage from tension.

The Petersen Museum's Tony Clark pushes the 1937 Mercedes Mercedes-Benz W 125 by its tires.

The Petersen Museum’s Tony Clark pushes the 1937 Mercedes Mercedes-Benz W 125 by its tires.

(Nick Agro / For The Times)

The car slowly rolls off the elevator onto the street, where it will be loaded onto a car transporter (a.k.a. an enclosed truck). A crowd of about 30 high school students from Phoenix who are exiting the museum, with oohs and aahs, snap pictures with their phones.

“Whoa!” one student yells out.

“We didn’t see this in there!” another chimes in.

Visitors unexpectedly catching a glimpse of a historic car in transport — on the real streets of Los Angeles as opposed to in a gallery — is a regular, serendipitous happening at the Petersen, says Dana Williamson, the museum’s conservator of the collection. The students’ excitement reaches fever pitch, but Williamsons’ eyes are fixed on the gold car as it ever-so-slowly is positioned parallel to the sidewalk.

“It’s a different exposure that people get to see,” Williamson says of the tourists. “We treat the museum as a center for education about car culture and design. So they get to see another aspect they wouldn’t otherwise experience.”

The 1970 Mercedes-Benz Type C 111-II sits on the street, its gull-wing doors open, as workers prepare it for transport

Workers prepare to load the 1970 Mercedes Type C 111-II experimental vehicle onto a transport while a crowd watches on the street outside the museum.

(Nick Agro / For The Times)

As if the scene were not chaotic enough, there’s now a trash recycling truck on Orange Grove waiting to pass through onto Wilshire Boulevard. But the sports car, its many handlers and the audience of tourists fill the street for now. Behind the truck is another car waiting to pass through.

This sort of thing “happens a lot,” Yates says.

“Because this is a public street, we often have pedestrians and public cars coming down here, so I have to be traffic cop,” she says. “We’ve had near-misses. You just have to make sure that people stop and see you.”

Suddenly, a smaller vehicle — a 1960s Meyers Manx original dune buggy — zips through the sliver of open road and stops in front of the Warhol car. Its driver is Meyers Manx Chairman Phillip Sarofim, who’s also a board member of the Petersen. He’s out for a spin and chats, from behind the wheel, with museum staffers while surveying the gold Mercedes, beaming. Between his 1960s car, the 1970s Mercedes sports car, the contemporary-looking SUVs and Hondas parked along Orange Grove — not to mention the still-stuck recycling truck — the scene is a kaleidoscopic mishmash of vehicles throughout the decades. If Warhol were here today, Yates imagines, he might be inspired to make a film documenting the commercialism-meets-art-meets-real-life-traffic-snaggle.

Jennifer Yates, Petersen Automotive Museum Head Registrar.

Jennifer Yates, Petersen Automotive Museum’s head registrar, signs off on the transfer of the Mercedes Type C 111-II to the custody of JP Logistics car transporter Jaime Ortega.

(Nick Agro / For The Times)

Yates chuckles at the ridiculousness, though the day’s frenetic activity is not novel. She worked at the L.A. County Museum of Art for more than 20 years in different registrar jobs prior to the Petersen and spent nearly a year working in Frank Gehry’s studio cataloging his architectural models. She appears unfazed by the chaos, hugging her iPad to her chest, hair pulled back neatly and eyes scanning the side street.

Soon both cars are loaded onto the trucks, where their wheels are secured to the truck beds with ratchet straps to prevent movement. Considering that laptops are generally packed in protective sleeves for transport, and musical instruments carried in padded cases, the straps, by comparison, seem fairly rudimentary for moving such a large, vintage object. But it’s the industry standard, says Uwe Moser, who works for the air freight transportation company Senator International. He’ll follow the trucks to the airport and see the cars off.

The 1970 Mercedes-Benz Type C 111-II is backed up a ramp, with little ground clearance to spare, onto a truck headed to LAX

A worker bends low to make sure that the underside of the Mercedes Type C 111-II doesn’t scrape the pavement as it’s loaded onto a truck headed to LAX.

(Nick Agro / For The Times)

At LAX, the cars will be mounted onto aluminum air freight pallets, which will be secured to the base of a commercial cargo carrier. Each car’s airfare is roughly the equivalent of two first-class tickets for humans, Moser says. They’ll fly into Luxembourg Airport before being transferred roughly 200 miles by truck to the museum in Stuttgart.

But first, the cars must navigate LAX — which is slightly easier for automobiles than humans, as it turns out. No long-term parking, no shuttles, no driving endlessly in circles; the cars will head straight for the airport’s cargo terminal, where they will be prepped for their journey in a warehouse. Paperless customs forms will have been handled in advance and the cars will bypass a security line (it was conducted electronically), going straight from the warehouse onto the aircraft via a high-lift loader, not unlike a forklift.

Turbulence? No worries. The pallets are locked in place on the plane, which is kept slightly colder than a passenger plane: 60-65 degrees. That’s not to protect the cargo — it’s to save fuel. The process of heating and cooling, over an 11-hour flight (no snacks), increases fuel consumption, Moser says.

The two Mercedes are secured one atop the other to air freight pallets made of metal frames for the flight to Europe

The two Mercedes are secured to aluminum air freight pallets to keep them in place during the flight to Europe.

(Uwe Moser / Senator International and Petersen Automotive Museum)

So what could go wrong?

Flight delays, paperwork hiccups and customs delays can occur, Moser says. But in his more than 15 years in the business, he’s observed that damage is usually due to human error.

“A forklift operator backs into a vehicle, stuff like that,” Moser says. “The most common damages are minor — chips or dents — like someone doesn’t wear the proper warehouse clothing or take off his rings or watch.”

Yates takes it all in stride. She loves her job, she says, just not driving.

“I walk to work,” she says.

And with that, the second of two trucks rumbles off, its contents — the race car — hidden from public view and headed on its next adventure.

California makes flag football a girls’ high school sport

California makes flag football a girls’ high school sport

California approved a system Friday to make flag football a girls’ significant college sport amid soaring acceptance of the sport and a drive to get additional woman athletes on the discipline.

The shift by the California Interscholastic Federation — the statewide human body that governs high college athletics — helps make flag soccer an formal sport for ladies in the nation’s most populous state for the future 2023-24 year. The plan was approved unanimously by the organization’s federated council in Long Beach, claimed Rebecca Brutlag, an agency spokesperson.

Paula Hart Rodas, president-elect of the CIF Southern Section’s council, said the objective is to get much more women associated in high university athletics and tap into a prevalent love of soccer by several who are loath to perform tackle. Southern California educational institutions spanning from Very long Seaside to Corona are hoping to start teams in the drop and the approval allows districts to add the sport to their budgets, Hart Rodas said.

“You can love the match of soccer and not adore finding tackled but still want to take part,” Hart Rodas stated. “Flag suitable now is aimed directly at acquiring much more women included in athletics by adding a distinctive activity that we know girls throughout the region are fascinated in, but not keen to enjoy deal with for a assortment of good reasons.”

The transfer adds California to a developing listing of states that have provided girls’ flag football in higher university athletic plans, these types of as Alabama and Nevada. New York state’s public higher school athletic association took a similar step this week and expects to host the first point out championship for girls flag football in the spring of 2024.

The vote in California comes amid a surge in desire in flag soccer between young players in leisure leagues and burgeoning guidance from the NFL and groups such as the Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers, which have been running a pilot significant school league for ladies in Southern California.

Scores of faculties signed up to take part in the pilot and these chosen to do so — and the eager youthful gamers who played in it — have extensively been viewed as pioneers in the sport.

Paul Schmidt stated currently being aspect of a start off-up has been enjoyable for his 14-yr-previous daughter, who had hardly ever played flag football in advance of she tried out out for the team at Redondo Union Significant College, one particular of the universities collaborating in the league. Earning the activity formal should make it easier to protected area time, he said, and presents a improve to a tight-knit workforce of girls that has bonded around commencing a thing new.

“She enjoys it, enjoys it. It’s exciting to be in a new activity,” he said.

Rising fascination in flag football — in which no just one will get tackled and a participate in finishes when an opposing participant pulls a flag from a belt about the ball-carrier’s waist — comes amid problem about the hazard of concussions and other accidents from deal with soccer.

In the ten years major up to 2018-19, the number of ladies playing flag football in U.S. large colleges doubled to 11,000, according to the National Federation of Point out Higher College Associations.

Without the CIF’s approval, California superior educational institutions could arrange flag soccer golf equipment. But coaches said allowing official interscholastic competition will very likely push far more colleges to start out groups and develop a pipeline of gamers.

Troy Vincent Sr., the NFL’s government vice president of football operations, wrote in the Sacramento Bee that periods have adjusted given that he performed professional soccer, which again then was “broadly viewed as a man’s sport.” He said higher faculty players could be ready to perform into higher education and beyond as universities have also ramped up the sport.

Vincent is also pushing to get flag soccer extra to 2028 Olympic Video games in Los Angeles.

“This is no for a longer period just a yard sport for girls’ pickup games for the duration of family getaway gatherings,” he mentioned.

Turkey-Syria earthquake: More than 1,300 dead as powerful quake hits region

Turkey-Syria earthquake: More than 1,300 dead as powerful quake hits region


Istanbul, Turkey
CNN
 — 

More than 1,300 people have died and rescuers are racing to pull survivors from beneath the rubble after a devastating earthquake ripped through Turkey and Syria, leaving destruction and debris on each side of the border.

One of the strongest earthquakes to hit the region in a century shook residents from their beds at around 4 a.m. on Monday morning, sending tremors as far away as Lebanon and Israel.

The epicenter of the 7.8-magnitude quake was 23 kilometers (14.2 miles) east of Nurdagi, in Turkey’s Gaziantep province, at a depth of 24.1 kilometers (14.9 miles), the United States Geological Survey (USGS) said.

Video from the scene in Turkey showed day breaking over rows of collapsed buildings, some with apartments exposed to the elements as people huddled in the freezing cold beside them, waiting for help.

In Turkey, at least 912 people have died and 5,385 are injured, Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said in a televised address Monday. In neighboring Syria, at least 476 people have died, including 326 mostly in the regions of Aleppo, Hama, Latakia and Tartus, according to Syrian state news agency, which also reported at least 1,042 injuries.

The “White Helmets” group, officially known as the Syria Civil Defense, also reported at least 150 deaths and 350 injuries in opposition-controlled areas of northwestern Syria. Much of northwestern Syria, which borders Turkey, is controlled by anti-government forces amid a bloody civil war that began in 2011.

Syrian rescuers (White Helmets) and civilians search for victims and survivors amid the rubble of a collapsed building, in the rebel-held northern countryside of Syria's Idlib province on the border with Turkey, early on February 6, 2023.

Monday’s quake is believed to be the strongest to hit Turkey since 1939, when an earthquake of the same magnitude killed 30,000 people, according to the USGS. Earthquakes of this magnitude are rare, with fewer than five occurring each year on average, anywhere in the world. Seven quakes with magnitude 7.0 or greater have struck Turkey in the past 25 years – but Monday’s is the most powerful.

Karl Lang, an assistant professor at Georgia Tech University’s School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, told CNN the area hit by the quake Monday is prone to seismic activity. “It’s a very large fault zone, but this is a larger earthquake than they’ve experienced any time in recent memory,” Lang said.

Several buildings were destroyed following the powerful earthquake in southern Turkey on February 6, 2023.

Journalist Eyad Kourdi, who lives in Gaziantep and was staying with his parents when the earthquake struck early Monday, said “it felt like it would never be over.”

When the shaking stopped, Kourdi and his parents walked out of their home still wearing their pajamas, he said.

With several inches of snow on the ground, they waited outside in the rain for about 30 minutes before he could go back inside to grab coats and boots.

Strong aftershocks have been felt in southern and central Turkey. About 11 minutes after the main quake hit, the strongest aftershock of 6.7 magnitude hit about 32 kilometers (20 miles) northwest of the main quake’s epicenter. Another intense aftershock with a magnitude of 5.6 then occurred 19 minutes after the main quake.

A destroyed apartment and damaged vehicle in Yurt neighborhood of Cukurova district after the earthquake in Adana, Turkey, on February 6, 2023.

Kourdi said there were up to eight “very strong” aftershocks in under a minute after the 7.8 magnitude quake struck, causing belongings in his home to fall to the ground. Many of his neighbors had left their homes following the quake, he said.

Photos showing the true scale of the disaster emerged as day broke in Turkey. Entire buildings have been flattened, with metal rods scattered across the streets. Cars have toppled over, while bulldozers work to clear the debris.

Gaziantep Castle has been heavily damaged in the powerful quake.

A winter storm in the region is exacerbating the disaster, according to CNN meteorologists.

“Hundreds of thousands of people are impacted by this. It is cold. It is rainy. Roads could be impacted, that means your food, your livelihood, the care for your children, the care for your family,” CNN meteorologist Karen Maginnis said.

“Anything as far as crops or anything growing across this region will be impacted as well. The ramifications of this are broad and will impact this region for weeks, and months.”

A destroyed building after a powerful earthquake jolts Turkey on February 6, 2023.

Search and rescue teams have been dispatched to the south of the country, Turkey’s interior minister, Suleyman Soylu, said. AFAD, the disaster agency, said it had requested international help through the Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC), the European Union’s humanitarian program.

Nearly 1,000 search and rescue volunteers have been deployed from Turkey’s largest city, Istanbul, along with dogs, trucks and aid, according to its governor, Ali Yerlikaya.

“Sorry for our loss. I wish our injured a speedy recovery,” Yerlikaya wrote on Twitter.

The governor of Gaziantep, Davut Gul, said on Twitter that “the earthquake was felt strongly in our city,” and advised the public to wait outside their homes and stay calm.

“Please let’s wait outside without panic. Let’s not use our cars. Let’s not crowd the main roads. Let’s not keep the phones busy,” he said.

Gaziantep province has a number of small- and medium-sized cities, with a sizable refugee population, according to Brookings Institute fellow Asli Aydintasbas.

“Some of these areas are rather poor. Some are more richer, urban areas … but other parts that we’re talking about that seem to have been devastated, are relatively lower income areas,” she said.

Video from the city of Diyarbakir, to the northeast of Gaziantep, shows rescue workers frantically trying to pull survivors out of the rubble.

Erdogan said the quake was felt in many parts of the country.

“I convey my best wishes to all our citizens who were affected by the earthquake that occurred in Kahramanmaraş and was felt in many parts of our country. All our relevant units are on alert under the coordination of AFAD,” Erdogan wrote on Twitter.

Search and rescue operations are underway as many are fear trapped in the rubble.

Messages of condolences and support started pouring in Monday morning as world leaders woke to the news of the deadly earthquake.

White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said the United States was “profoundly concerned” about the destruction in Syria and Turkey.

“I have been in touch with Turkish officials to relay that we stand ready to provide any & all needed assistance. We will continue to closely monitor the situation in coordination with Turkiye,” Sullivan wrote on Twitter.